Canadians headed to the polls on Monday to decide whether to back Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal Party for a further term or hand power to Conservative challenger Pierre Poilievre. Yet, unusually, much of the election narrative was shaped by a figure not on the ballot but by US President Donald Trump whose provocative comments about Canada becoming the “51st state” ignited nationalist sentiment across the country.
Trump’s interventions, which included false claims that the US subsidises Canada, prompted a strong backlash. Poilievre, under pressure to distance himself from Trump, insisted Canadians alone would determine their future. The controversy appeared to bolster Liberal fortunes, with Carney urging voters to reject foreign interference and stand firm against economic threats from Washington.
Early trends show a close contest as Liberals and Conservatives battle for control
As polls closed across much of the country, including key battlegrounds Ontario and Quebec, early results suggested a tighter race than expected. The Conservatives held ground in Atlantic Canada and were projected to gain a seat, while the Liberals fought to defend their dominance elsewhere. According to preliminary figures, the Liberals are leading or elected in 32 seats so far.
Quebec remains a wildcard. While the Liberals have been polling ahead of the Bloc Québécois, late momentum for the sovereigntist party could shift results. Meanwhile, in Ontario’s “905” region around Toronto, a crucial battleground, both major parties are locked in fierce competition.
Here are the key takeaways so far:
Tight race reflected in Atlantic Canada: Both Liberals and Conservatives improved their vote shares at the expense of smaller parties like the NDP and Greens, hinting at strategic voting patterns, BBC reported.
Record early voting: Over 7.3 million Canadians voted before election day, highlighting the high stakes perceived by voters.
Poilievre’s Trump connection a liability: Despite focusing his campaign on Liberal failures, Poilievre’s perceived similarity to Trump hurt him, particularly among undecided voters.
Trump overshadowed domestic issues: Economic concerns like cost of living, homelessness, and healthcare were largely drowned out by reaction to Trump’s aggressive rhetoric.
