The INDIA bloc, the coalition of 27 opposition parties, is likely to face defeat if the Lok Sabha Elections 2024 were held today, revealed India Today Mood of the Nation poll on Thursday. However, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is likely to win 335 seats, falling short of its “400 paar” target.
Here’s what the tally looks like as per the India Today Mood of the Nation Poll:
According to the survey, the INDIA bloc is likely to bag 38.3 percent votes in the 2024 Lok Sabha polls. The Congress, alone, may win 19 percent of vote share, while the BJP is likely to form 39.6 percent of the total vote share.
1. INDIA Vs NDA:
NDA: 335 seats
INDIA: 166 seats
Others: 42 seats
2. Congress Vs BJP:
BJP: 304 seats
Congress: 71 seats
Other: 168 seats
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Key takeaways from the survey:
1. The Congress may emerge as the second largest party with 71 seats, up 19 from last time.
2. Among the four regions, states in South India are likely to vote for the Opposition INDIA bloc
3. The INDIA bloc is likely gain majorly in Punjab among other North Indian states.
4. The Congress may gain marginally in Goa with 47 percent vote share, while the BJP may get 37 percent vote share. Goa is a BJP-ruled state.
5. INDIA Block has no advantage in Jharkhand and Delhi
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Now, let’s look at region-wise projections for INDIA bloc:
Projected seats in the North (180 seats):
NDA: 154 seats
INDIA: 25 seats
Others: 1 seat
Projected seats in the South (132 seats):
NDA: 27 seats
INDIA: 76 seats
Others: 29
Projected seats in the East (153 seats):
NDA: 103 seats
INDIA: 38
Others: 12 seats
Projected seats in the West (78 seats):
NDA: 51 seats
INDIA: 27 seats
Others: 0
Projected seats in the North-East (7 states, 11 seats):
NDA: 8 seats
Congress: 2 seats
Others: 1 seat
A look at state-wise projections as per India Today Mood of the Nation Poll:
| State | INDIA bloc (seats) | NDA (seats) |
Other key parties (seats) |
| Madhya Pradesh | 2 | 27 | |
| Jammu and Kashmir | 3 | 2 | |
| Ladakh | 0 | 1 | |
| Delhi | 0 | 7 | |
| Haryana | 2 | 8 | |
| Himachal Pradesh | 0 | 4 | |
| Uttarakhand | 0 | 5 | |
| Rajasthan | 0 | 25 | |
| Punjab | 10 | 2 | |
| Uttar Pradesh | 8 | 72 | |
| Maharashtra | 26 | 22 | |
| Bihar | 32 | 8 | |
| Gujarat | 0 | 26 | |
| Chhattisgarh | 1 | 10 | |
| Jharkhand | 0 | 11 | JMM: 2 |
| West Bengal | TMC:22; Congress 1 | 19 | |
| Goa | 1 | 1 | |
| Assam | 2 | 12 | |
| Karnataka | 4 | 24 | |
| Telangana | 10 | 3 | |
| Andhra Pradesh | TDP: 17; YRCP: 8 |
The Lok Sabha Elections are set to take place this year. While the Election Commission of India is yet to release poll dates, key political parties have upped their ante in fight to win the crucial elections. As many as 27 opposition parties have formed alliance to take on the BJP in the 2024 poll. Meanwhile, the BJP is looking at forging alliance and launching campaign in different states.
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Published: 08 Feb 2024, 10:54 PM IST
